Gold fell below the psychological level of $4,000 per troy ounce for the first time since the beginning of 2026. The reason is paradoxical: instead of traditional growth against the backdrop of geopolitical risks, investors are reducing positions in gold, assessing a potential jump in oil prices due to the situation around Iran.

The stock market remains resilient for now, but its high valuation largely depends on interest rates, corporate profits and the state of the credit market. If borrowing costs continue to rise, even strong companies could face pressure on their multiples.

After skyrocketing to $5,300 an ounce, gold lost more than 20% of its value to near $4,000. Overheated bets on currency depreciation faced massive profit-taking. The big question now is whether gold can hold its key price level and regain upward momentum.

The S&P 500 is holding near record levels, but internal NYSE metrics tell a different story. Only 40.82% of stocks are above their 150-day moving average, and the market breadth indicator is yet to confirm the strength of the index.

More and more stocks are beginning to participate in the movement of the American market, and the gap between the weighted and equal-weighted S&P 500 is narrowing. However, the weakness of the largest technology companies does not yet allow us to call what is happening a full-fledged bullish market expansion.

The American stock market finds itself in a situation where rising corporate profits support stock prices, while declining valuation multiples limit the potential for further growth. Why are these two processes happening simultaneously and which one will be more important for the S&P 500?

Annual inflation in Canada accelerated to 3.1% amid rising energy prices, but the Bank of Canada's preferred core inflation rate fell to 1.85%, a six-year low. Why is this divergence important for interest rates and the Canadian dollar?

In the third quarter of 2026, global ETFs with physical gold attracted a record $30.7 billion. At the same time, the UK for the first time in a long time took the first place among countries in terms of inflows since the beginning of the year. Why do investors continue to increase their investments in gold despite the decline in its price?

The S&P 500 bull market has reached a four-year mark, with historical CFRA statistics showing an average gain of 20.8% in the fifth year of previous bull cycles. But the continuation of the rally will depend not on the calendar, but on corporate profits, the economy and the behavior of bond yields.

Japan spent a record ¥15.4 trillion to support the yen, and the US joined joint currency intervention for the first time in decades. But fundamental factors continue to put pressure on the Japanese currency. Why does government intervention not guarantee a sustainable USD/JPY reversal?

Flows into gold ETFs from the UK, France and Germany accelerated sharply in the second half of 2026. Why are European investors increasing exposure to gold now and what does this say about the perception of fiscal and market risks?

Bank of Japan board member Ayano Sato supports a gradual further rate increase, but weak consumer spending remains an important constraint for the regulator. Why does the BOJ have to balance between inflation and domestic demand?

Board member of the Bank of Japan Ayano Sato supports further gradual rate hikes, but acknowledges the weakness of consumer spending. For BoJ, this creates a difficult balance between the fight against inflation and the risk of pressure on domestic demand.

EUR/USD fell to 1.12 and hit a 17-month low. Let's figure out why the euro was under pressure, what does France have to do with it, the Fed and ECB rates, and what can change the situation.

Gold futures have already fallen by at least 3.5% in a single trading session seven times in 2026. This is the highest level since 2008 and more than double the figure for all of 2025.

The S&P 500 maintains relatively high levels, but the market's internal structure is weakening rapidly. Only 25% of the index's components are above their 50-day moving average, and the new 52-week lows are well ahead of the highs.

USD/CAD has risen from 1.38 to 1.415 almost without a pullback since the beginning of September. The paradox is that oil remained at extremely high levels during this time. Let’s look at why the traditional relationship “expensive oil - strong CAD” is now working much weaker.

The Bank of Japan raised the rate to 1.25%, the highest since 1995, but the yen weakened after the decision. Why did the rate hike not stop the currency and what role does the persistent gap with US rates play here?

After a strong growth, gold entered the correction phase. But the fall in the price does not mean that interest in the metal has disappeared. In contrast, gold ETFs received $18 billion in new funds in August, their aggregate holdings reached a record 4,189 tons, and gold imports to China exceeded 1,000 tons in the first eight months of 2026.Let's see where the key areas are on the XAUUSD chart and what can determine the next movement of gold.

Ethereum accelerated again and rose above $2,700. Let's figure out who is behind the current demand for ETH: American ETFs, institutional investors or large holders, and what could happen to Ethereum next.

Gold is correcting after a strong rally, but large buyers have not disappeared. We look at three key areas of XAU/USD and find out who is currently supporting the market: China, central banks or gold ETFs.

Bitcoin returned from the $75,000 area to $85,000 in a matter of days and updated in a maximum of eight months. But what is behind this movement? We analyze ETF flows, purchases of institutional players, elimination of shorts, macroeconomic background and behavior of large BTC holders.

The WTI oil price has retreated after strong growth, but the medium-term picture remains mixed. The chart shows three potential areas of interest for buyers: $95.74, $94.84, and $93.93. We understand why the market is adjusting, what happens to oil supplies and what factors can determine the next move.

Bitcoin is trading around $77,590 after declining from local highs. Rising bond yields, expectations of a Fed rate hike and weakening inflows into spot BTC ETFs are putting pressure on the crypto market. Let's analyze the key Bitcoin purchase zones on the BTCUSD H2 chart.

Gold came under severe pressure in early September. Rising oil, Treasury yields and expectations of a Fed rate hike are causing buyers to retreat. But a major support zone is already close.

After a strong August, Bitcoin started September with a correction. The market is now testing whether BTC will hold up in a key support zone amid rising yields, rising oil prices and expectations of tighter Fed policy.

The S&P 500 enters September after a strong August, but is starting the month under pressure from rising Treasury yields and expectations of a Fed rate hike. On the chart, the key areas to look for buys are at 7666, 7650 and 7634.

CAC 40 enters September after a correction from August highs. On the chart, the nearest shopping search areas are located at 8290, 8271, and 8252. At the same time, the macrophone of Europe remains ambiguous: the industry is accelerating, but inflation and high bond yields limit the potential of the index.

Ethereum starts September around $2,434 after a strong recovery in August. Technically, the key buying areas remain $2,401, $2,379 and $2,356. Fundamentally, ETH is supported by a record run of ETF inflows and dwindling available supply.

Bitcoin is once again approaching an important resistance zone around $80,000. A potential double bottom is forming on the weekly chart, but the market has not yet received the main confirmation - a sustained breakout of the resistance. If the level is taken, the technical structure can improve dramatically.

The US100 maintains an upward structure after recovering from the August lows. The main areas to look for purchases are at 29334, 29210 and 29087. The index is supported by strong results from Nvidia and continued demand for AI, but high Treasury yields and speech by Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh create increased volatility.

The German stock market is receiving support from several sides at once: the German economy is showing signs of recovery, business sentiment is rising, and lower oil prices are reducing inflationary pressures. At the same time, the main risk for GER40 is a possible tightening of ECB policy.

Bitcoin is holding around $79,500 after a sharp recovery above $80,000. The return of institutional demand, inflows into spot ETFs and expectations of changes in Fed policy support a bullish scenario, but the $80,000-82,000 zone remains a serious resistance.

WTI fell sharply from $88 to $80-82 amid hopes for a de-escalation of the conflict over Iran. However, the fundamental picture remains mixed, with supply still constrained by supply issues through Hormuz and US inventories rising. On the chart, the key buy zones are at 79.37, 78.31 and 77.25.

Silver maintains a strong structure after a large-scale growth and now forms a correction near local highs. The chart highlights three key areas of customer interest — 67.36, 66.72 and 66.08. The fundamental background remains supportive due to industrial demand, supply shortage and general investor interest in precious metals.

Gold, after updating its historical highs, entered a consolidation phase. The chart shows three key zones of interest for buyers - 4608, 4583 and 4558. At the same time, the fundamental background remains supportive: demand from central banks, investment flows and risks around the US debt burden continue to increase the attractiveness of gold.

Gold moved into consolidation after strong momentum, but the medium-term structure remains bullish. The chart highlights three key areas for possible purchases — 4601, 4578 and 4553. The fundamental backdrop also remains favorable: ETF flows are recovering, central banks are maintaining demand, and uncertainty around rates, the dollar, and US debt is underpinning defensive assets.

Ethereum maintains a bullish structure after a strong recovery. The chart highlights three key areas for possible position gain - 2411, 2392 and 2374. At the same time, improving ETF flows, growing institutional demand and an increase in the share of ETH in staking create fundamental support for further upward movement.

After a strong recovery, WTI oil entered a consolidation phase near important support levels. We analyze the technical picture, areas of interest of buyers and fundamental factors that can determine the next movement of the oil market.

The Dow Jones index (US30) has recovered after a sharp correction and is forming a new base near important support levels. We analyze the technical picture, areas of potential purchases and macro factors that can support the further movement of the American market.

Gold remains one of the top assets for 2026 amid expectations for Fed rates, central bank purchases and rising demand for safe haven assets. We analyze the current technical picture of XAU/USD, key areas for purchases and fundamental factors that can support further growth of the metal.

Starting in 2022, the Fed has raised rates sharply to cool the economy. But one of the main channels of impact began to work differently: office construction collapsed and investment in data centers soared to record levels. Artificial intelligence has created a sector that has not yet responded to expensive money in the way the regulator expected.

The US national debt crossed the $40 trillion mark for the first time. In recent years, the rate of debt growth has accelerated sharply, and interest payments have already become one of the largest budget expenditure items. Why is the market increasingly watching not the size of the debt, but the price of servicing it?

Physically backed gold ETFs received $3.5 billion in a week, and the total inflow for six weeks reached $10 billion. Investors are again actively increasing their positions in gold, with Europe being the main source of demand.

Hedge funds made the second-largest purchases of US stocks in the past 12 months. About 70% of demand came from individual companies, and the IT and communications sector became the main areas of capital inflow. What made institutions return to the market after a large-scale reduction of positions in July?

The 260-day volatility ratio of the S&P 500 to gold dropped to 0.46. Historically, such low values have often been harbingers of a return of volatility to average levels. What the market may be underestimating right now.

The Japanese and South Korean markets experienced a sharp sell-off, wiping out hundreds of billions of dollars in market capitalization. But the main question is not the size of the fall, but its mechanics: high concentration in technology stocks, leveraged positions and synchronized capital outflows can quickly increase volatility.

India has replaced Indonesia as Asia's least preferred stock market. In the Bank of America survey, a net 32% of managers are underweight, and the Nifty 50 is down about 8% year-to-date. High valuations, weak growth and lack of clear exposure to AI are forcing investors to reconsider the “Indian story.”

Wells Fargo is revising gold expectations amid high bond yields and tighter Fed expectations. At the same time, the bank maintains a long-term positive view of the metal, based on central bank purchases, geopolitical risks and demand for gold as a reserve asset.

Goldman Sachs believes a September Fed rate hike is unlikely after weak data on employment, inflation and consumer activity. But forecast markets look further: Kalshi estimates the probability of the next increase before 2027 at almost 50%, and before July 2027 already about 70%.

Donald Trump's support has dropped to 33%, the lowest level during his current presidency. 64% of Americans disapprove of his job performance, and 80% believe the conflict with Iran will drag on. For the White House, this is especially dangerous given rising fuel prices and the approaching midterm elections.

China received a 12-year record increase in foreign exchange reserves on the international balance in the second quarter. At the same time, the yuan continues to strengthen, but the authorities are clearly not trying to allow the rate to rise too quickly. Why Beijing prefers managed strengthening and what this means for the foreign exchange market.

The yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds rose to 2.93% and reached its highest in almost 30 years. The market estimates the probability of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan in September at approximately 80%. Why a weak yen, inflation and rising government spending are causing investors to reconsider their approach to Japanese debt.

The world's largest sovereign wealth fund earned a record $184.3 billion in the first half of 2026. After a weak first quarter, the fund gained 11.5% in the second, and its shares immediately rose by 16%. The main drivers were technology companies and the boom around artificial intelligence.But the record profits also show how heavily the global market now depends on a few of the biggest tech companies.

Until recently, the market was preparing for a new tightening of Fed policy. Now the picture is changing: inflation is sending calmer signals, PPI has not risen unexpectedly, consumer demand has begun to cool, and futures are no longer setting up an aggressive bullish cycle. Why the market is gradually moving away from a tight Fed scenario and what this means for stocks, bonds, the dollar and gold.

In July 2026, the US federal government collected $334 billion, but spent $766 billion. The difference was a record $432 billion for July. At the same time, customs duties for the first time became a source of net outflow of money from the budget due to large-scale refunds to importers.

The United States has begun returning billions of dollars in tariff payments deemed illegal to importers. But prices that rose after the tariffs were introduced did not roll back. Why the consumer may be the biggest loser in this story.

The S&P 500's trajectory in 2025-26 is remarkably reminiscent of the 1998 bull market. Then the index continued to rise before a sharp change in sentiment. Today, a similar picture is emerging again amid the semiconductor boom and accelerating corporate profits. But there is an important difference: the current market is becoming wider.

After a sharp correction, gold is gaining strength again. Deutsche Bank believes the metal remains in an "explosive phase" of growth, with its fair value model pointing to $4,700 an ounce. What is behind this forecast and why central banks remain the main source of demand.

After the departure of Nicolas Maduro, Washington counted on the rapid arrival of American oil giants in Venezuela. But almost eight months later, there are still no major new deals with American companies. Why even the largest oil corporations are not ready to rush to invest in the country with the largest oil reserves in the world.

Elon Musk is ready to send up to $120 million through America PAC to support the Republicans in the midterm elections of 2026. The campaign will cover at least eight states. Why one of the world's biggest entrepreneurs is again betting on political influence — and why this money is important not only for American politics.

Official inflation measures the average basket of goods and services. But if you look at the specific expenses of Americans, the picture turns out to be much harsher: coffee has risen in price by 123%, beef by 81%, eggs by 76%, housing by 60%.

The United States is spending record amounts to service its federal debt. The current annualized interest expense is close to $1.37 trillion—almost three times the level in spring 2021. Why rising interest costs are becoming a source of deficits in their own right and what this means for the dollar, bonds, inflation and financial markets.

The US is returning billions of dollars in tariff payments to businesses, but prices for consumers are not rolling back. How the tariff experiment transformed from a source of budget revenue into a massive refund system—and why its effects could linger in inflation and corporate profits.

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